538 Soccer Predictions – Smart Football Forecasts Explained Explore the Power Behind 538's SPI-Based Football Predictions

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Time League Match Tip Odds Score
13:00 NOR HamKam VS Brann X2 -- : --
16:00 LAT Auda VS Jelgava 1 -- : --
17:00 ICE Vestmannaeyjar VS Vikingur Reykjavik 2 -- : --
17:00 FIN VPS VS HJK X2 -- : --
15:00 FAR TB Tvoroyri VS NSI Runavik 2 -- : --
17:00 EURO W Wales W VS Netherlands W 2 -- : --
Time League / Match / Tip Odds
13:00 NOR
HamKam   vs  Brann
X2
 - 
16:00 LAT
Auda   vs  Jelgava
1
 - 
17:00 ICE
Vestmannaeyjar   vs  Vikingur Reykjavik
2
 - 
17:00 FIN
VPS   vs  HJK
X2
 - 
15:00 FAR
TB Tvoroyri   vs  NSI Runavik
2
 - 
17:00 EURO W
Wales W   vs  Netherlands W
2
 - 

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Upcoming Tips

05/07 EURO W Wales W vs Netherlands W 2
05/07 FAR TB Tvoroyri vs NSI Runavik 2
05/07 ICE Vestmannaeyjar vs Vikingur Reykjavik 2
05/07 NOR HamKam vs Brann X2
Recent Winnings
Date League Match Tip Score
02/07 INT Slavia Prague VS U. Cluj 1 5 : 2
02/07 FIN Ilves VS KTP 1 2 : 1
01/07 LAT Riga FC VS Jelgava 1 3 : 0
01/07 LAT Super Nova VS Auda X2 0 : 1
01/07 FIN KuPS VS Gnistan 1 6 : 2
01/07 CHN Guangxi Lanhang VS Guangxi Hengchen 2 0 : 5
30/06 SWE Djurgarden VS Norrkoping 1X 1 : 1
30/06 LAT BFC Daugavpils VS RFS 2 1 : 7
30/06 EST Kuressaare U21 VS Nomme Utd U21 2 1 : 4
29/06 KAZ Turan VS Aktobe 2 0 : 3
Date League / Match / Tip Score
02/07 INT
Slavia Prague   vs  U. Cluj
1
5  -  2
02/07 FIN
Ilves   vs  KTP
1
2  -  1
01/07 LAT
Riga FC   vs  Jelgava
1
3  -  0
01/07 LAT
Super Nova   vs  Auda
X2
0  -  1
01/07 FIN
KuPS   vs  Gnistan
1
6  -  2
01/07 CHN
Guangxi Lanhang   vs  Guangxi Hengchen
2
0  -  5
30/06 SWE
Djurgarden   vs  Norrkoping
1X
1  -  1
30/06 LAT
BFC Daugavpils   vs  RFS
2
1  -  7
30/06 EST
Kuressaare U21   vs  Nomme Utd U21
2
1  -  4
29/06 KAZ
Turan   vs  Aktobe
2
0  -  3
Load More
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What Are 538 Soccer Predictions?

538’s soccer predictions are created using the Soccer Power Index (SPI), a statistical model that rates teams based on expected goals, team strength, and opponent quality. The SPI then runs thousands of match simulations using a Poisson model to predict win, draw, and loss probabilities.

How Reliable Are 538’s Forecasts?

The model is highly respected for its transparency and structure. However, 538 does not specifically tailor its output for betting markets. It’s excellent for spotting long-term trends, league simulations, and match-level projections—but raw probabilities should be compared against bookmaker odds for value betting.

How Validpredict Differs

While 538 predictions are informative, they are general-purpose. Validpredict offers:

  • Real-time predictions based on betting angles

  • Tips backed by live match analysis and current stats

  • Daily updated forecasts for matches that matter most

If you’re looking for usable forecasts for bet slips, explore:

Can You Use 538 Data to Improve Betting?

Yes, but carefully. Use it to spot:

  • Underrated teams with strong SPI ratings

  • Draw-prone fixtures where simulations show low margins

  • Undervalued home teams in major leagues

Then, cross-check with our daily Single Bet Tips or Banker Predictions to confirm real betting value.

Conclusion: Use Data, But Bet Smart

538’s model gives insight. Validpredict turns that insight into practical, real-world betting opportunities. If you're serious about football predictions, combine what 538 offers with actionable daily tips from Validpredict. Stay informed, bet smart, and win consistently.