538 Soccer Predictions – Smart Football Forecasts Explained Explore the Power Behind 538's SPI-Based Football Predictions

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Time League Match Tip Odds Score
19:45 IRE Wexford VS Dundalk 2
1.53 		-- : --
19:45 IRE Bray VS Athlone 1
1.53 		-- : --
14:00 ENG PDL Watford U21 VS Sheffield Utd U21 X2
1.30 		-- : --
19:45 UEFA Ukraine VS France 2
1.38 		-- : --
19:45 UEFA Montenegro VS Czech Republic X2
1.18 		-- : --
Time League / Match / Tip Score
19:45 IRE
Wexford   vs  Dundalk
2
 - 
19:45 IRE
Bray   vs  Athlone
1
 - 
14:00 ENG PDL
Watford U21   vs  Sheffield Utd U21
X2
 - 
19:45 UEFA
Ukraine   vs  France
2
 - 
19:45 UEFA
Montenegro   vs  Czech Republic
X2
 - 

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  • 05
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    2.58 odds
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    1.82 odds
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    1.87 odds
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    2.81 odds
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    3.00 odds
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    4.51 odds
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    2.59 odds
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    3.05 odds
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    5.11 odds
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    5.04 odds
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    4.02 odds
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    2.00 odds
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    5.04 odds
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    1.94 odds
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    4.41 odds
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    2.03 odds
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    2.13 odds
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    3.01 odds
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    5.29 odds
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    3.01 odds
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    Jul
    2.14 odds
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    Jul
    5.19 odds
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    Jul
    2.02 odds
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    5.08 odds
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    2.00 odds
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    5.08 odds
  • 30
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    3.05 odds
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    3.03 odds
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    4.61 odds
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Recent Winnings
Date League Match Tip Score
04/09 WC Algeria VS Botswana 1 3 : 1
04/09 UEFA Bulgaria VS Spain 2 0 : 3
02/09 ENG Huddersfield VS Newcastle Utd U21 1 6 : 2
02/09 ENG Plymouth VS Cheltenham 1 2 : 0
02/09 DEN Skive VS Kolding IF 2 0 : 2
31/08 FIN KTP VS HJK 2 1 : 4
31/08 EST Kalju VS Kuressaare 1 2 : 0
31/08 BELG Genk VS Waregem 1 3 : 2
31/08 ITA Inter VS Udinese 1 1 : 2
31/08 GER Dortmund VS Union Berlin 1 3 : 0
Date League / Match / Tip Score
04/09 WC
Algeria   vs  Botswana
1
3  -  1
04/09 UEFA
Bulgaria   vs  Spain
2
0  -  3
02/09 ENG
Huddersfield   vs  Newcastle Utd U21
1
6  -  2
02/09 ENG
Plymouth   vs  Cheltenham
1
2  -  0
02/09 DEN
Skive   vs  Kolding IF
2
0  -  2
31/08 FIN
KTP   vs  HJK
2
1  -  4
31/08 EST
Kalju   vs  Kuressaare
1
2  -  0
31/08 BELG
Genk   vs  Waregem
1
3  -  2
31/08 ITA
Inter   vs  Udinese
1
1  -  2
31/08 GER
Dortmund   vs  Union Berlin
1
3  -  0
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What Are 538 Soccer Predictions?

538’s soccer predictions are created using the Soccer Power Index (SPI), a statistical model that rates teams based on expected goals, team strength, and opponent quality. The SPI then runs thousands of match simulations using a Poisson model to predict win, draw, and loss probabilities.

How Reliable Are 538’s Forecasts?

The model is highly respected for its transparency and structure. However, 538 does not specifically tailor its output for betting markets. It’s excellent for spotting long-term trends, league simulations, and match-level projections—but raw probabilities should be compared against bookmaker odds for value betting.

How Validpredict Differs

While 538 predictions are informative, they are general-purpose. Validpredict offers:

  • Real-time predictions based on betting angles

  • Tips backed by live match analysis and current stats

  • Daily updated forecasts for matches that matter most

If you’re looking for usable forecasts for bet slips, explore:

Can You Use 538 Data to Improve Betting?

Yes, but carefully. Use it to spot:

  • Underrated teams with strong SPI ratings

  • Draw-prone fixtures where simulations show low margins

  • Undervalued home teams in major leagues

Then, cross-check with our daily Single Bet Tips or Banker Predictions to confirm real betting value.

Conclusion: Use Data, But Bet Smart

538’s model gives insight. Validpredict turns that insight into practical, real-world betting opportunities. If you're serious about football predictions, combine what 538 offers with actionable daily tips from Validpredict. Stay informed, bet smart, and win consistently.